Palmese vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 2
CIT
43%
23%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 0
EBO
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
FCI
30%
23%
48%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ACP
0 - 3
PAL
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 2
AEE
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
CIT
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 1
CIT
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 2
CIT
43%
23%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 0
CIT
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CIT
2 - 1
CAV
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |