Palmerston North Marist vs Stop Out analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
46.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmerston North Marist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NAP
10 - 0
PNM
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PNM
3 - 0
HNW
21%
19%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 0
PNM
18%
18%
65%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PNM
4 - 3
IBU
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PNM
4 - 1
MAS
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stop Out
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
STO
0 - 2
MIR
15%
16%
69%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
IBU
4 - 3
STO
14%
16%
70%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
WEL
15%
16%
69%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
STO
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WKA
4 - 1
STO
71%
16%
14%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |