Palmerston North Marist vs Havelock North Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
60.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmerston North Marist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 0
PNM
18%
18%
65%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PNM
4 - 3
IBU
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PNM
4 - 1
MAS
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
FCW
0 - 3
PNM
27%
21%
53%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HNW
3 - 2
PNM
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Havelock North Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HNW
1 - 7
WEL
5%
10%
85%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PET
2 - 0
HNW
37%
21%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HNW
1 - 4
WUF
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 4
HNW
58%
19%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
4 - 0
HNW
93%
6%
1%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | -1 |