Palmeiras vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAL
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 0
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
ATP
1 - 1
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 0
ATP
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
PAU
3 - 1
PAL
16%
22%
62%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2010 |
VAS
3 - 1
VIT
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 0
VAS
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
BAH
0 - 1
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
GOI
2 - 2
VIT
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |