Palmeiras vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SCI
1 - 0
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 0
ATM
43%
23%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
GOI
1 - 1
PAL
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
PAL
4 - 0
SGA
92%
6%
2%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PAU
4 - 3
PAL
38%
23%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
VIT
6 - 1
PAR
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
VIT
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
SCI
1 - 1
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
VIT
3 - 1
SAM
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 0
VIT
22%
25%
54%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | -1 |