Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-0
Palmeiras vs Vilhena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
16.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
21.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.2%
+2
25.3%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
12.4%
2.2%
Win probability
0.19
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
ITU
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 0
BRA
70%
19%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
3 - 2
PPE
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
PAL
9%
17%
74%
|
81 | 38 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PIM
1 - 1
VIL
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
GEN
0 - 1
VIL
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 1
CAC
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ARI
1 - 0
VIL
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
PAL
9%
17%
74%
|
38 | 81 | 43 | 0 |