Palmeiras vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 4
SCI
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
PAL
0 - 1
COR
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
ATP
0 - 0
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 1
GOI
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
GRE
0 - 1
PAL
34%
25%
42%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
EVE
2 - 2
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
UCO
3 - 0
PAL
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
COB
1 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2000 |
UCO
0 - 0
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |