Palmeiras vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
PAL
0 - 0
NAU
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1968 |
PAL
3 - 0
POR
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 14 | 65 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
PAL
2 - 0
GAL
75%
15%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1968 |
POR
1 - 2
PAL
28%
21%
51%
|
79 | 15 | 64 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
GAL
1 - 2
PAL
34%
24%
42%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
GUA
3 - 1
UCO
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
UCO
4 - 1
GUA
61%
20%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1968 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
61%
19%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1968 |
UCO
1 - 1
EME
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
UCO
2 - 0
NAC
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |