Palmeiras vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
AMF
78%
16%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 0
BAH
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 1
JUN
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
PAL
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
AMF
1 - 2
PAL
18%
25%
57%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 1
COR
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CRZ
2 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 2
SPO
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOT
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |