Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-1
Palmeiras vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
COL
0 - 1
PAL
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 0
LIG
58%
23%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 2
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 1
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
LIG
2 - 3
SPO
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
COL
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 0
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 1
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
CEN
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |