Palmeiras vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
FFL
0 - 0
PAL
40%
25%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PAL
3 - 1
ATM
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 0
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NAU
0 - 0
PAL
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 0
PAL
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
IFC
1 - 3
SAO
23%
27%
51%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRZ
49%
25%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 0
SAO
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |