Palmeiras vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
ATP
4 - 0
PAL
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 1
FLA
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ATM
1 - 3
PAL
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 2
FFL
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAL
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 1
JUV
68%
19%
14%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATM
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
27%
25%
49%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 2
BRA
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |