Palmeiras vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2002 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAY
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
FFL
1 - 0
PAL
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
PPE
2 - 0
PAL
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
PAL
1 - 2
BAH
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
SAO
2 - 2
COR
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
SAO
1 - 2
ATM
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ATP
1 - 1
SAO
45%
24%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
BAH
2 - 0
SAO
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
SAO
6 - 0
FLU
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |