Palmeiras vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
PAL
0 - 4
SAN
51%
28%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAL
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
MUN
0 - 1
PAL
4%
19%
77%
|
87 | 27 | 60 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1974 |
JWI
1 - 0
PAL
21%
29%
50%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAL
52%
27%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
CSA
0 - 0
SAO
16%
23%
61%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
MUN
1 - 1
SAO
4%
17%
79%
|
87 | 27 | 60 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
JWI
0 - 1
SAO
23%
28%
49%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1974 |
SAO
2 - 1
SPO
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
OPE
0 - 2
SAO
16%
23%
60%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |