Palmeiras vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
FLU
2 - 2
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
PAL
3 - 2
SCI
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 1
PPE
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
JUV
1 - 2
PAL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 3
PAL
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
0 - 1
CRZ
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
COT
2 - 2
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 2
ATP
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
COR
0 - 2
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
JUV
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |