Palmeiras vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 0
RIV
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MOG
1 - 2
PAL
10%
18%
73%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
CEN
3 - 3
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
COR
29%
27%
45%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
RIO
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAO
36%
23%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 2
RBB
40%
26%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
MOG
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 4
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 3
COR
17%
26%
57%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | -1 |