Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 6-2
Palmeiras vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
15%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
20.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.3%
+2
25%
1-0
19.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
25.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
14.6%
3.3%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 2
ATM
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAL
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 1
PAL
9%
18%
74%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
COR
2 - 2
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
GOY
1 - 0
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 1
PAL
9%
18%
74%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 4
DUQ
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
AME
0 - 0
SAM
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 1
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |