Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 4-2
Palmeiras vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.4%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 0
GOI
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
PAL
14%
20%
66%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FLA
4 - 2
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
FLU
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 2
PAL
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
PAL
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 2
OES
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 3
SAM
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 2
PAR
24%
27%
50%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 1
INT
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | +1 |