Palmeiras vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MOG
1 - 2
PAL
10%
18%
73%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
CEN
3 - 3
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
COR
29%
27%
45%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
RIO
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
4 - 1
PAL
15%
20%
66%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
RIV
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 1
PLA
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 3
CEN
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -2 |