Palmeiras vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
4 - 1
PAL
15%
20%
66%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 2
RBB
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AUD
2 - 1
PAL
19%
24%
58%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAL
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 4
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ITU
2 - 1
RIO
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAN
14%
24%
62%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
RIO
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
LIN
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |