Palmeiras vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
43%
26%
30%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
PAL
8%
21%
71%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
MIR
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 2
COR
57%
24%
19%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
PPE
12%
24%
64%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PPE
1 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
PPE
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PPE
1 - 1
ITU
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
PPE
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |