Palmeiras vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 1
PAL
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 0
MEL
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 1
PAL
13%
24%
64%
|
89 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
JUN
0 - 2
PAL
27%
28%
45%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 2
ITU
81%
14%
5%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
PPE
3 - 0
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 2
PPE
25%
27%
49%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
PPE
2 - 1
BOT
67%
22%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PPE
1 - 1
ITU
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 0
PPE
24%
26%
51%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |