Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-3
Palmeiras vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2000 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
JUV
2 - 2
PAL
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2000 |
PAL
4 - 1
NAC
88%
9%
4%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2000 |
STR
4 - 2
PAL
28%
24%
48%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 1
BOT
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2000 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
BOC
3 - 1
PEÑ
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2000 |
BLO
3 - 3
PEÑ
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
PEÑ
5 - 1
UCO
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2000 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
BOC
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |