Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Palmeiras vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1968 |
PAL
2 - 1
GUA
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAL
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1968 |
PAL
4 - 1
UCO
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
PAL
0 - 0
NAU
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1968 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SPC
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1968 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
EME
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
POR
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 16 | 67 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1968 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEÑ
44%
24%
31%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1968 |
EME
0 - 1
PEÑ
40%
25%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |