Palmeiras vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 4
PAL
18%
22%
60%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
PAL
12%
20%
68%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 1
LIN
77%
17%
7%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
PAL
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 1
CEA
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 1
PEN
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 2
BRA
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
OES
1 - 0
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
PEN
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |