Palmeiras vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
1 - 1
PAL
6%
22%
72%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 0
POR
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
FLU
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
CRZ
1 - 2
PAL
46%
27%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 1
INT
78%
16%
7%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
POR
2 - 2
NOV
13%
25%
62%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 1
PPE
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 0
NOV
52%
26%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAY
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |