Palmeiras vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
AVA
0 - 3
PAL
26%
26%
49%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
ATP
2 - 2
PAL
39%
26%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
PAL
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
PAL
3 - 1
CRZ
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 2
SCI
28%
26%
47%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 0
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 1
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
ATM
3 - 0
NAU
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |