Palmeiras vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1968 |
PAL
3 - 0
POR
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 14 | 65 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
PAL
2 - 0
GAL
75%
15%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1968 |
POR
1 - 2
PAL
28%
21%
51%
|
79 | 15 | 64 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
GAL
1 - 2
PAL
34%
24%
42%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
NAU
1 - 3
PAL
41%
24%
36%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1968 |
NAU
3 - 2
POR
88%
8%
3%
|
66 | 15 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
NAU
1 - 0
GAL
62%
18%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1968 |
GAL
2 - 1
NAU
52%
21%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1968 |
POR
1 - 1
NAU
16%
21%
63%
|
67 | 14 | 53 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
NAU
1 - 3
PAL
41%
24%
36%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |