Palmeiras vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
UNI
1 - 2
PAL
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
FLU
1 - 3
PAL
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1971 |
PAL
3 - 0
GAL
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1971 |
PAL
1 - 0
MIR
85%
10%
5%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1971 |
MIR
0 - 3
PAL
18%
20%
61%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1971 |
UNI
0 - 0
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1971 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1971 |
NAC
3 - 0
CHA
86%
10%
5%
|
83 | 12 | 71 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
NAC
5 - 0
STR
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
STR
1 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
33%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |