Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 3-4
Palmeiras vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 0
PPE
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 3
PAL
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 2
COR
36%
30%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 1
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 0
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 0
JUN
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
RMA
8 - 0
MIL
94%
5%
1%
|
78 | 98 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SFE
1 - 2
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |