Palmeiras vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAL
40%
26%
34%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 2
INT
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAL
19%
25%
56%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ITU
0 - 0
BOT
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
ITU
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ITU
0 - 3
GUA
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ITU
1 - 0
COR
18%
27%
56%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITU
35%
29%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |