Palmeiras vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAO
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
PAL
11%
22%
67%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
FER
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 0
BRA
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 2
PAL
29%
27%
44%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ITU
1 - 1
CEA
27%
27%
45%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
ITU
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ITU
3 - 0
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 1
ITU
7%
17%
76%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
5 - 1
ITU
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |