Palmeiras vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
FLU
0 - 1
PAL
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 3
PAL
34%
24%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 1
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
GAM
2 - 0
PAL
14%
23%
63%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
FLA
0 - 0
PAL
49%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
CEN
1 - 1
IND
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
IND
2 - 0
CRZ
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
IND
2 - 1
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
IND
3 - 0
UCO
53%
22%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 1
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |