Palmeiras vs Independiente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8.8%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
2.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 3
CEA
71%
19%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 4
PAL
14%
24%
62%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 0
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 1
PAL
31%
28%
41%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
BRA
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ROY
5 - 1
IND
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
EME
35%
23%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
UDV
2 - 2
IND
31%
27%
43%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
IND
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
IND
2 - 3
BLO
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |