Palmeiras vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAL
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1968 |
PAL
4 - 1
UCO
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
PAL
0 - 0
NAU
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1968 |
PAL
3 - 0
POR
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 14 | 65 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAL
50%
23%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
GUA
3 - 1
UCO
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
UCO
4 - 1
GUA
61%
20%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
1 - 1
PEÑ
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
2 - 1
NAC
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |