Palmeiras vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2006 |
SAO
4 - 1
PAL
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 1
CRZ
48%
24%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAL
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 1
PAL
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 0
GOI
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
PPE
1 - 1
GRE
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 2
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 2
VAS
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
5 - 2
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |