Palmeiras vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
POR
2 - 0
PAL
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 1
PAL
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
COR
4 - 2
PAL
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
COT
4 - 1
PAL
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRZ
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
GRE
1 - 0
SCI
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
GRE
1 - 1
FLU
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
UCH
1 - 1
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |