Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 5-6
Palmeiras vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
GRE
5 - 0
PAL
39%
29%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
PAL
3 - 0
BOL
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAL
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 2
GRE
64%
21%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1995 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAL
36%
29%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
GRE
5 - 0
PAL
39%
29%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1995 |
GRE
0 - 1
COR
47%
28%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1995 |
COR
2 - 1
GRE
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1995 |
FLA
2 - 1
GRE
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |