Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 1-2
Palmeiras vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SCI
1 - 1
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 2
VIT
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
CRZ
53%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLA
42%
26%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
ATL
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLA
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 1
CRI
62%
23%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |