Palmeiras vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ATM
1 - 3
PAL
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 2
FFL
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAL
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 1
COR
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 2
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
FLA
2 - 1
COT
45%
26%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 2
FLA
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 6
SAO
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 2
ATM
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |