Palmeiras vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 0
NAU
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
PAL
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
PAL
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
PAL
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 2
COT
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
FLU
4 - 0
BAH
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 2
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 0
BAH
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 1
SCI
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |