Copa do Brasil Final
Global 2-1
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1998 |
CRZ
1 - 0
PAL
37%
28%
35%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1998 |
SAN
2 - 2
PAL
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1998 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1998 |
PAL
1 - 1
SPO
76%
15%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 2
PAL
32%
28%
40%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1998 |
CRZ
1 - 0
PAL
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1998 |
VAS
0 - 0
CRZ
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1998 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VAS
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1998 |
VIT
1 - 0
CRZ
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1998 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VIT
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |