Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 4-0
Palmeiras vs Coruripe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
16%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 1
PPE
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
COR
0 - 1
PAL
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 6
PAL
18%
24%
58%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
69%
20%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 3
PAL
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ASA
2 - 0
COR
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
COR
0 - 1
PAL
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COR
2 - 0
CEO
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
COR
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
COR
3 - 0
COR
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |