Palmeiras vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
PAL
11%
23%
66%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
6%
20%
74%
|
90 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
ITU
81%
13%
5%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAL
40%
26%
34%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 4
COR
16%
27%
57%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
POR
83%
13%
4%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
40%
28%
33%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
COR
1 - 3
NOV
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
SAO
47%
26%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |