Palmeiras vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 0
PAL
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 2
JEC
68%
21%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
CRZ
2 - 3
PAL
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
CRZ
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
COR
2 - 0
FLU
55%
25%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
COR
31%
30%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
COR
1 - 2
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
COR
3 - 0
CRZ
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
COR
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |