Palmeiras vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 2
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
5 - 3
PAY
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
VAS
0 - 0
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
PAL
3 - 1
GOI
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 3
COR
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
COR
3 - 0
FOR
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
FLU
0 - 2
COR
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
COR
3 - 2
BRA
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
RIV
1 - 1
COR
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |