Palmeiras vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
PAL
3 - 1
SAO
97%
3%
1%
|
86 | 37 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAL
6%
15%
79%
|
86 | 37 | 49 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
AMF
1 - 1
PAL
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
PAL
2 - 1
VAS
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
PAL
3 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
COR
6 - 2
UBI
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1999 |
UBI
0 - 1
COR
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
COR
2 - 1
AME
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
VIT
2 - 3
COR
45%
25%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
SAO
1 - 2
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |