Palmeiras vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 1
PAL
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
SCI
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAL
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 1
SPO
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
SLO
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
SAO
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 2
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
FFL
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |