Palmeiras vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 1
EME
85%
10%
5%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
PAL
1 - 0
ABC
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
GRE
0 - 0
PAL
35%
29%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
EME
1 - 3
PAL
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAL
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
0 - 2
EME
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAL
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1995 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
SPC
4 - 0
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |