Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Palmeiras vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1999 |
PAL
4 - 2
FLA
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1999 |
RIV
1 - 0
PAL
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1999 |
FLA
2 - 1
PAL
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
COR
2 - 0
PAL
36%
26%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
PAL
2 - 0
COR
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1999 |
HUR
0 - 1
RIV
18%
22%
61%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1999 |
RIV
1 - 0
PAL
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1999 |
RIV
3 - 1
GLP
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
VEL
1 - 0
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
BOC
2 - 1
RIV
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |